极地研究

极地研究 ›› 2021, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (2): 268-278.DOI: 10. 13679/j.jdyj.20200047

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

北极航线体系国家关系网络研究

丁超君1,2; 李振福1,2; 史晓梅1>; 陈雪1   

  1. 1大连海事大学交通运输工程学院, 辽宁 大连 116026;  2大连海事大学综合交通运输协同创新中心, 辽宁 大连 116026
  • 收稿日期:2020-05-25 修回日期:2020-06-16 出版日期:2021-06-30 发布日期:2021-05-31
  • 通讯作者: 丁超君
  • 基金资助:
    国家高技术研究发展计划(2016YFC142706)，国家自然科学基金重点项目 (71831002)，教育部长江学者和创新团队发展计划 (IRT_17R13)，国家社会科学基金后期资助项目(19FZZB013)

Research on national relations network of Arctic route system

Ding Chaojun1,2, Li Zhenfu1,2,Shi Xiaomei1, Chen Xue1   

  1. 1College of Transportation Engineering, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China;  2Collaborative Innovation Center for Transport Studies, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, China
  • Received:2020-05-25 Revised:2020-06-16 Online:2021-06-30 Published:2021-05-31
  • Contact: Ding Chaojun

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摘要： 随着北极海冰融化, 北极航线所具有的巨大战略价值吸引了多个国家的关注, 北极航线地缘问题将成为未来国际地缘问题中的重要一环。本文通过构建北极航线体系国家关系网络, 定量研究2007—2019年期间, 北极航线体系国家关系网络的结构特征演化, 并测算各个国家的地缘权力特征。结果表明: 北极航线体系国家关系网络规模不断扩大, 网络密度则呈现先上升后下降的态势。分析各子网络, 科考合作网络与环保合作网络的网络密度最大, 能源合作网络与航运合作网络的网络密度呈上升趋势, 安全合作网络密度一直较低。北极航线体系国家关系网络具有小世界性, 无标度特征在演化过程中越为明显。分析具体节点特征, 开始北极八国是网络中重要的节点, 在演化过程中, 北极域外国家重要程度上升。另外划分社团, 在演化过程中, 北极八国从聚合走向分化, 网络中的国家关系更加复杂。

关键词: 北极航线, 地缘问题, 复杂网络, 国家关系

Abstract: With the melting of Arctic sea ice, the considerable strategic value of the Arctic route has attracted the attention of many countries, and the geopolitical issue of the Arctic route will become an important part of international geopolitics in the future. This paper quantitatively evaluates the evolution of the structural characteristics of the national relationship network under the influence of the Arctic routes from 2007 to 2019 by constructing a national relationship network of the Arctic route system, and estimates the geopolitical power characteristics of each country. The results show that the scale of national relations networks continues to expand, and the network density shows a trend of first rising and then decreasing. Based on analysis of each sub-network, the network densities of the scientific research cooperation network and the environmental protection cooperation network are the largest, the network densities of the energy cooperation network and the shipping cooperation network are on the rise, and the security cooperation network density has been low. In addition, the network has a small cosmopolitan nature, and the scale-free feature becomes more obvious during the evolution process. Analysis of the characteristics of specific nodes indicates that the eight Arctic countries are important nodes in the network. During the evolution process, the importance of countries outside the Arctic has increased. Moreover, the communities are divided. In the evolution process, the eight Arctic countries have evolved from convergence to differentiation, and the national relations in the network have become more complex.

Key words: Arctic route, geopolitical problem, complex network, national relations